All-round Athlete

Chapter 60 Change the Odds

Chapter 60 Change the Odds

Sean Crawford walked off the field in a daze, and he still couldn't understand why he couldn't outrun a yellow man.

"Sean, you lost to a Chinese! What a shame! Don't forget that you are an American, how can you lose to a skinny Chinese?" A very annoying voice from Sean Williams sounded , the speaker was Morris Green.

If you say who is the world's number one flying man, 80% of the people will say Morris Green.

Morris Green has absolute strength. He once broke the world record for the 100-meter sprint in 1999 and raised the world record to 9.79 seconds. At that time, many experts said that the human limit was 9.8 seconds, because Morris Green's previous world record was 9.84 seconds.

Morris Green has a wealth of competition experience. Since 1997, Morris Green has won dozens of world championships. The most gold-rich one is the 100-meter world champion in the 2000 Sydney Olympics. That is to say, Morris Green is Competing as the defending champion.

Morris Green still has enough talent. He once had a car accident while driving a motorcycle in 2002, resulting in a broken leg. This can be said to be a fatal injury for a sprinter. After recovering, he changed some technical habits and returned to the peak of the 100-meter sprint. You must know that it is not easy for such top athletes to change their habits, and athletes will not lack of effort. Morris Green's ability to do this fully reflects his amazing sprint talent.

If you only look at the above three points, then Maurice Green can be regarded as a perfect athlete, but in fact Maurice Green's character has a lot of flaws. He is arrogant, irritable, impulsive, and likes to pretend. Boss, look up and wait.

It used to be the era when Carl Lewis dominated the 100-meter sprint. Maurice Green once defeated Lewis and performed arrogantly on the spot. After breaking the world record, he was even more arrogant. Tim Montgomery broke Green's world record two years ago, and Green targeted Montgomery for two full years because of this incident, especially after Montgomery fell into a doping scandal, and Green even made things worse.

The car accident two years ago did not make Green restrain himself. After his comeback, Green became more flamboyant and coquettish. Especially in the US team trio this time, Green often acted as the boss in front of Crawford and Gatlin, so Gatlin and Crawford hated Green very much.

At this moment, when he heard Green's voice, Crawford knew that he would be ridiculed by Green. He was very upset, but he still defended: "The Chinese is very fast, and he is not weak, and he is also tall. He is taller than you. And he ran 9 seconds 87, there are not many people in this world who can run this time."

Gatlin, who was about to play, was obviously standing in the same trench as Crawford, and he also said: "Sean is right, we have to admit that this Chinese has the strength to enter the ranks of the world's top players."

"So what?" Green sneered, "If it was me, I would never lose to a Chinese. I will let you guys see how I taught that Jamaican rookie a lesson."

The Jamaican rookie Green was referring to was Asafa Powell, and the two were in the same group. Before, the media often hyped that Powell is a genius-level flying man who will break the pattern of Americans monopolizing sprinting in the future. This made Green very unhappy, so Green planned to teach this junior who was touted by the media a good lesson during the game.

Gatling knew that Green had such a bad-ass personality. In normal games, even if Green lost the game, he would not admit defeat, so he ignored Green and walked on the track.

In the third group, the American player Justin Gatlin is undoubtedly the strongest player. In addition, the British player Jason Gardner and the Nigerian player Uchenna Hermidolu are also very strong. , these three people also qualified for the top three rankings, among which Gatlin ran for 9.96 seconds. It is worth mentioning that another Japanese player, Nobuharu Asahara, was also in this group. He finished fourth and missed the next round. In this way, both Japanese players were eliminated.

There were no American players in the fourth group, so Ghana's Aziz Ariza won first place with a time of 10.02 seconds. In addition, veteran Kim Collins and Jamaican Michael Flatt entered the next round.

The fifth group game Morris - Green vs. Asafa - Powell. Green tried his best to teach Powell a lesson, but Powell didn't take the move at all. He didn't plan to fight Green in the rematch, so Powell didn't show his full strength, and won the second place in the group with a time of 9.99 seconds. promotion. Green is the first in the group, and Mills of Ghana is the third in the group.

Subsequently, the French player Ronald Bergnon of the first group ranked first in the fourth place in each group with a time of 10.15 seconds, and also qualified for the semi-finals.

So far, all 16 contestants in the semi-finals have been selected, only Zhang Guan is left as the only Asian athlete, and at the same time, all Caucasians are wiped out, and only Zhang Guan is left as the only non-black athlete.

...

On August 21, the Chinese team won a total of three gold medals. Among them, in the women's doubles event of badminton, the final was held between two groups of Chinese athletes. , which made the game less gunpowder; in the women's weightlifting final match over 75 kg, Tang Gonghong staged a shocking reversal under a disadvantaged situation and broke the world record in one fell swoop.

In addition to these three gold medals, the end point reported by the domestic media is that the 100-meter sprint event has entered the semi-finals historically. The time of 9.87 seconds was only belonged to black people in the past. However, it broke the tradition of blacks monopolizing sprint events. For a while, not only the domestic media, but even East Asia and even the whole of Asia were cheering for Zhang Guan.

In the men's 100m semi-finals, although there were no Caucasians, the European Caucasians did not feel depressed, because in the women's 100m finals, Belarus' Nestrenko miraculously won the championship. Whites in Europe have begun to cheer, they have broken the monopoly of blacks in sprinting events. Especially some countries in Eastern Europe, their economy is far inferior to Western European countries, this gold medal is undoubtedly a shot in the arm for them.

Moreover, Nestrenko's victory also made the major gambling companies a small profit, because as a white player, Nestrenko was definitely not favored before the competition, whether it was the men's sprint event or the women's sprint event, No one will bet on a non-black player.

Of course, there are also many people who like to bet on upsets, and most of them are small bets of one or two euros. Although the probability of making a big bet with a small bet is too low, the odds are also surprisingly high. After this kind of small bet accumulates, it is also a considerable amount of money.

In the data analysis department of Ladbrokes, the analysts are extremely busy. They have to carefully analyze each game and then adjust the new odds.

A young analyst sent the data report to supervisor Williams, and at the same time said: "Director, the odds of the track and field men's 100-meter sprint have been revised, and there are no abnormal bets yet."

Director Williams nodded. He took the data report, looked at the young man who was hesitant to speak, and asked, "Little Tommy, do you have any questions?"

"Yes, sir. I don't understand why you want to lower the odds of that Chinese athlete to win the championship. The odds of 1 to 2 are already the lowest among all players. If this is the case, this Chinese will become the biggest favorite to win the 100-meter championship." Although it is said that this Chinese will improve his performance every game, but I have watched his game video, I think his speed has reached the limit, with the level of the Olympic Games, I am afraid that it will take 9.8 seconds to win the championship, but the Chinese obviously It is impossible to achieve this result." The young man said.

"Little Tommy, your analysis is very reasonable. The Chinese's performance may have reached the limit. Maybe he has the ability to enter the final, but the possibility of winning the championship is very small!" Williams changed his voice and continued: " But don’t forget that although the possibility is slim, it doesn’t mean it’s completely impossible. What if other athletes are not performing well, but this Chinese is the only one who is performing supernormally?”

"Although there is this possibility, the possibility is too low to be regarded as zero by statistical standards."

"If I didn't know that the Chinese have placed a heavy bet on themselves, I would think so too." Williams picked up the coffee at hand, took a sip, and then continued: "In our previous predictions, the Chinese's The result was around 10 seconds, but now he has run into 9.9 seconds, maybe even faster. Thinking of the situation where he bet heavily on himself, I think he has something to rely on."

Williams paused, and then said: "I know this reason can't convince you, so let's take a look at the data! The Chinese bet heavily on themselves when the odds are high. If he really wins the championship , we have to pay him more than one million euros, then we may lose money on the 100-meter sprint, so we must reduce his odds to limit other customers from betting on him. This Chinese is regarded as the favorite to win the 100-meter championship, and there will not be too many people betting on him! Just imagine, who would buy a Chinese to win the 100-meter race at odds of 2 to 1? M champion?"

"If the Chinese hadn't made such a bet before the game, I certainly wouldn't have lowered his odds so low. Maybe I would have adjusted his winning odds to the same standard as Powell's, but he was Bet heavily on yourself! Don’t forget, we are a gambling company! Our industry is like a huge casino, and our gambling company is the banker. You know that in the game, the banker will always make money, because the banker What the gambler is looking for is stability, but what the gambler is fighting for is probability. In a game of gambling, for the gambler, it is either a big profit or a loss; for the banker, there is only the difference between a big profit and a small profit. So we would rather Make less money and never lose money, this is our principle! Little Tommy, believe me, other gambling companies will make the same choice as me, I think maybe in a few minutes, the odds of that Chinese person will Become the number one favorite to win the 100-meter championship."

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The second chapter is delivered, please ask for a recommendation ticket. Thanks to the book friends 1983 Stranger, Poorer than You, Scholar-YES, Loli Green Town, Dare to be a Pioneer, Xin Weixue, Meizhu Jushi, Don’t Mention mz, ​​Rongnaida, Caiyuntian, Destroyed Lamp, KING009V . Asia, lsl1977, Arturia Pendragon, Lost Angel, Book Friends 130325001328192, Misty Rain in the Red Mansion, Sakuragiri, Xing Xuerou, Da Yicheng, Jian Feichi, Ultimate Vegito, Evolution of Rebirth, Tim: Qiling, book friend 151122005809496, six barrels ~ a reward. Thanks

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